Data · The Tracker
Small Business AI Adoption Tracker
The U.S. Census Bureau asks businesses about AI use every two weeks. Almost nobody reads the releases. We track every one — this page is the running record.
Tracker launched: July 4, 2026 · Updates with each Census BTOS releaseWhy this tracker exists
Most AI adoption coverage quotes annual, one-shot surveys — outdated the week they publish, and usually run by companies selling something. The BTOS is different: it's a probability-sampled government survey of roughly 1.2 million businesses per year, asked in rotating biweekly panels, with AI questions asked continuously. It is the closest thing that exists to a live feed of American business AI adoption — and it's public, free, and almost entirely ignored.
Every two weeks, we log the new reading here, note the trend, and flag anything unusual. Over time this page becomes the longest continuous public record of small business AI adoption.
The log
| Release | AI use (current) | Expected use (next 6 mo.) | Notes |
|---|---|---|---|
| July 2026 (tracker launch) | 17–20% range across 2026 releases | Consistently ~2–4 points above current use | Baseline entry. Next BTOS release will be logged with exact panel figures. |
Source: U.S. Census Bureau, Business Trends and Outlook Survey (BTOS). Narrow definition: AI used in producing goods or services during the last two weeks. Not comparable to industry surveys of "any AI tool use" — see the reconciliation.
Context: all the 2026 measures at once
| Source | Figure | Definition |
|---|---|---|
| Census BTOS | 17–20% | AI in production of goods/services (narrow, rigorous) |
| Federal Reserve | 46% | AI use among small employer firms |
| U.S. Chamber | 68% | Regular AI tool use |
| Goldman Sachs | 76% | Current AI usage (program alumni) |
| Intuit QuickBooks | 77% | Regular AI use (SMB software customers) |